Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 25.531319 28.981974 32.745229 37.157087 42.191621 47.762323 54.400295
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 21.282345 25.943075 31.411450 38.312793 46.808004 56.946246 69.998134
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 18.267124 23.746084 30.613809 39.882865 52.111869 67.757715 89.396279
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 15.594465 21.521856 29.424392 40.783595 56.783296 78.649407 111.030712
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 13.864646 20.252909 29.284735 43.073864 63.756909 93.883878 141.564546
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 12.046152 18.557943 28.285853 44.007078 69.036838 107.776932 173.120052
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 10.181355 16.481761 26.390542 43.281851 71.728257 118.359596 201.925874
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 8.781734 14.898574 24.999540 43.116880 75.312893 131.086042 237.060549
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 7.966711 14.143516 24.837712 44.993648 82.746212 151.788671 290.782346
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.339575 13.608517 24.965920 47.418172 91.664541 176.954770 358.617204
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.590426 12.725360 24.321987 48.298744 97.869885 198.305294 424.015840
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.733763 11.494819 22.821984 47.240156 100.036207 212.120201 477.063998
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.950092 10.301554 21.244592 45.841287 101.469410 225.256307 533.218254
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.400675 9.499758 20.336411 45.717993 105.731269 245.660211 611.988741
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.987388 8.920303 19.805778 46.351544 111.921909 272.015079 712.849349
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.586484 8.300438 19.082445 46.410261 116.803005 296.461539 815.931274
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.346588 8.011955 19.072069 48.210642 126.501078 335.459798 970.309886
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.050732 7.538737 18.541740 48.604067 132.654921 366.691382 1111.983269
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.704017 6.880500 17.443086 47.293962 133.904141 384.797408 1219.814810
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.437827 6.383056 16.668779 46.716760 137.134480 409.478467 1356.368451
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.300314 6.202496 16.699243 48.430636 147.583414 458.579654 1590.219416
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.197648 6.099625 16.924894 50.776289 160.588150 519.186689 1884.791566
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.044362 5.828628 16.632993 51.502507 168.645579 565.921280 2145.023269